As Myanmar prepares for the upcoming monsoon season, expected to arrive in the second week of May, meteorologists warn that this year’s rains could be heavier nationwide compared to previous years. Communities in earthquake-devastated areas, including Mandalay, Sagaing, and Naypyidaw, are urgently calling for accelerated rescue operations and temporary shelters for displaced families before the monsoon begins.
Structural Risks and Rescue Delays
Experts caution that residents returning to partially collapsed buildings during rains risk further collapses triggered by aftershocks. Dr. Saw Htwe Zaw, Vice Chairman of Myanmar’s Earthquake Committee, emphasized the need for authorities to conduct systematic structural assessments of all buildings in affected areas. “Inspections must categorize homes as habitable or unsafe. Those deemed unsafe require immediate relocation plans,” he stated.
Rescue teams in Mandalay report struggling to clear debris after international aid groups withdrew. As of April 10, bodies remain trapped under ruins like Sky Villa and the Great Wall Hotel. A family member of a victim lamented, “Only local teams are left. Russian rescuers departed on April 9, but recovery is incomplete.”
Monsoon Threats: Floods, Landslides, and Disease
In mountainous regions like Shan State, the monsoon raises risks of floods and landslides, compounded by ongoing aftershocks along the Sagaing Fault. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) warns of potential tremors exceeding magnitude 5.0, urging vigilance. Over 90 aftershocks have struck near Mandalay, Sagaing, and Naypyidaw since the March 28 quake, with weaker tremors felt in Bago, Karen, and Shan states.
Thousands displaced by the quake now reside in makeshift tents, vulnerable to monsoon rains. “Tarpaulin shelters leak, and winds tear them apart,” said Ma Marlar, a Mandalay resident. Others fear returning to unstable homes, while some stay nearby to guard salvaged valuables.
Calls for Preparedness and Aid
Engineers and rescue workers stress the need for emergency training, mobile firefighting units, and disaster-ready equipment. A Sagaing rescue volunteer noted, “Delays in reaching victims after the fire station collapsed cost lives. Equipment must be pre-positioned.”
The junta claims to be negotiating international aid for mobile clinics and debris-clearing machinery. Compensation of 100,000 kyat per victim and rebuilding funds for damaged homes have been announced. Meanwhile, the Myanmar Engineering Society is forming inspection teams to assess building safety in Mandalay, Sagaing, and Yangon starting April 11.
Long-Term Risks and Neglected Warnings
The Sagaing Fault, stretching 1,200 km, remains active, posing risks to cities like Yangon and Kalaw. Earthquake experts urge public education on safety measures and designated emergency shelters. UNOCHA estimates 17 million people across 60 townships have been affected, with displaced families facing disease outbreaks as rains intensify.
Aid groups warn of sanitation crises: “Without proper shelters, waterborne diseases will spread,” a relief coordinator said. Despite junta assurances, locals criticize sluggish response times and inadequate support.
Ref; BBC Burmese
